Will the Subaru BRZ Survive If Toyota Nixes the 86?

Matt Posky
by Matt Posky

News of the Toyota Supra’s four-cylinder engine, currently relegated to the Japanese market, bolstered media assumptions that the base model could eventually replace the 86 coupe in North America. While that’s a bit of a stretch, especially considering The Japan Times says a second-generation 86 is rumored to in the works for 2021, sales of the model sank nearly 40 percent in the United States last year. Toyota has also suggested it is considering paring its North American lineup.

Like the Supra, Toyota’s 86 is shared with a manufacturer that sells it under a different name, with its own unique flair. It may not sell as well, but the Subaru BRZ is essentially the same vehicle and its manufacturer doesn’t want you to worry about Toyota. It would like to continue building the lightweight sports coupe even if the 86 goes extinct. However, wanting to and doing so are two completely different things.

“The car has been great for the brand, certainly one of the halo vehicles from a performance perspective,” Subaru’s head of North American communications, Ron Kiino, told CarBuzz at the 2019 North American International Auto Show. “As far as giving customers a Subaru feel, a lightweight sports car, the boxer engine is a big part of that. For our brand we think the BRZ makes sense and we feel there’s a demand.”

When asked if a decision by Toyota not to do a new 86 would result in the elimination of the BRZ, Kiino said “it’s not an immediate death sentence,” without elaborating further.

While it would be hard to imagine the BRZ without the 86, Subaru could theoretically go it alone. Both models are manufactured at its Gunma assembly plant, smack dab in the middle of Japan, without much aid from Toyota. Sure, Big T designed the transmission and fuel injection system, but the rest of the flat-four powertrain is pure Subaru.

That doesn’t necessary mean fate will be kind to the BRZ without Toyota’s involvement. Last year, Subaru only managed to move 3,834 units in the U.S. and Kiino’s words are only tepidly reassuring. We’re not prepared to assume anything other than Subaru not wanting to let go of the model unless it has to — which seems probable.

[Images: Subaru]

Matt Posky
Matt Posky

A staunch consumer advocate tracking industry trends and regulation. Before joining TTAC, Matt spent a decade working for marketing and research firms based in NYC. Clients included several of the world’s largest automakers, global tire brands, and aftermarket part suppliers. Dissatisfied with the corporate world and resentful of having to wear suits everyday, he pivoted to writing about cars. Since then, that man has become an ardent supporter of the right-to-repair movement, been interviewed on the auto industry by national radio broadcasts, driven more rental cars than anyone ever should, participated in amateur rallying events, and received the requisite minimum training as sanctioned by the SCCA. Handy with a wrench, Matt grew up surrounded by Detroit auto workers and managed to get a pizza delivery job before he was legally eligible. He later found himself driving box trucks through Manhattan, guaranteeing future sympathy for actual truckers. He continues to conduct research pertaining to the automotive sector as an independent contractor and has since moved back to his native Michigan, closer to where the cars are born. A contrarian, Matt claims to prefer understeer — stating that front and all-wheel drive vehicles cater best to his driving style.

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  • SuperCarEnthusiast SuperCarEnthusiast on Jan 20, 2019

    Doubt it! It built in the same assembly plant as the 86 and the 86 sells 20% more cars then the BRZ.

  • Jthorner Jthorner on Jan 21, 2019

    Conspiracy theory time: Didn't Toyota tell use this vehicle would be short-lived just by the name? "Klinger, 86 the 86, would ya?"

  • EBFlex With the days supply of inventory Stellantis may welcome a strike
  • Bd2 Oh, the emptiness overfills this citySo you'll be queen tonightAs you overthrow, looking pale and pretty
  • Daniel J I generally love colors outside of the normal white, black, or silver. The biggest issue we've had is Mazda tends not to put the colors we want with the trim or interior we want.
  • Daniel J If you believe what Elon says, he said on X that the plan is expand at current locations and make sure that the current chargers are being maintained. Like I said on the previous thread on this, they probably looked at the numbers and realized that new chargers in new places aren't cost effective.
  • Daniel J How is this different than a fully lifted truck? I see trucks rolling off the lot with the back lifted already, and then folks get the front lifted to match. Are there specific "metrics" at how high they can and can't be? The example shown has the truck's front lifted more than normal, but I've seen these around here where the backend is dropped and the front end is at a regular height.
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